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Alcaraz vs Sinner: Battle moves onto clay in Paris

As they prepare for the French Open, Carlos Alcaraz’s growing rivalry with Jannik Sinner hints at a decade of great sporting theatre to come.  

Get ready for round seven, with Carlos Alcaraz enjoying a slight points advantage as the latest rivalry in tennis begins to take root. So far, in six meetings in Grand Slam events between the two best men’s players on the planet, the 22-year-old world No.1 (Alcaraz) holds a 4-2 winning record over his 24-year-old opponent, ranked No.2, Jannik Sinner. 

Across all competitions dating back to 2021, that scorecard reads 10-6 to Alcaraz. And yes, the Spaniard will arrive in Paris looking to complete a hat-trick of wins on the Roland Garros clay on the back of his performance at the year-opening Australian Open, when he became the youngest man to achieve the career Grand Slam. Alcatraz is a juggernaut, beginning to average two Grand Slam titles a year. He already has seven, and he turns just 23 a fortnight before the first ball is struck at the French Open. 

Let us do a simple projection. Say Alcaraz continues for another 10 years at this level, taking him to 33 – Roger Federer retired at 41, Rafa Nadal at 38, and Novak Djokovic is still going strong at 38 – and wins those two Grand Slams a year, the numbers become staggering. Just FYI, Sinner won three in 2025, so he is not out of the equation either.  

Barring accident or injury, the next decade could conservatively see Alcaraz add 20 to his list of seven. The currency of determining GOAT status, apparently, is Grand Slams, and Djokovic holds that mythical title with 24. Alcaraz needs 17 more to match the GOAT. 

Given their superiority, the reality is that for now, and the foreseeable future, Alcaraz and Sinner are likely to share the Grand Slams. And, when one falls early, like in the semi-finals, the other is there to pick up the pieces. This is what happened with Djokovic at the Australian Open. He won a five-setter against Sinner in the Friday semi-final and 48 hours later was up against Alcaraz in the final. And, as every other player will find out, they are likely to have to beat Alcaraz and Sinner to win a Grand Slam. This is also because they are certain to be seeded No.1 and No.2 on opposite sides of the draw for some time to come. 

Check out this fascinating take on Carlos Alcarez-Jannik Sinner rivalry!  

Although I was watching from the comfort of the sofa, last year’s final at Roland Garros featured the most brutal consistent hitting of a tennis ball I have seen, and while the game itself might not have reached the heights of the 2008 Wimbledon final between Federer and Nadal, it surely ranks in the top three of championship finals ever played. 

Impossible as it is to compare generations, modern equipment, diet and conditioning have led to the sustained power game. Like golf, where things have evolved to the extent that players are now routinely “bombing drives” of 300 metres off the tee, tennis has become a brutal exhibition of power. But Alcaraz and Sinner are also bringing intelligence and artistry that’s far superior to whoever No.3s and 4 are. 

Last year coughed up the longest modern French Open final, all 5 hours 29 minutes of it, with Alcaraz staring at match point 3 hours 43 minutes into the contest. The Spaniard fought back and eventually won 4-6, 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 7-6. Stats often lie, but of the 385 points played in the match, Sinner won 193 and Alcaraz 192. It was that tight, but the one that mattered most – match point – went the way of the younger man. 

In trying to keep up with Alcaraz, firstly narrowing the gap in their head-to-heads and even going ahead, Sinner has spent the first quarter of 2026 working on improving his serve.  

And getting more physical. When it comes to the tale of the tape, he is slightly the bigger man – 1.91m and 77kg versus 1.83m and 74kg. “I’m trying to get a very solid serve at the moment, which is what we work a lot on,” Sinner said in February. “Also a lot in the gym, the gym sessions are very important. I try to make an extra step forward in that scenario, and that’s it.”  

If you are of a betting persuasion, you might want to take that advice and pencil Sinner in for Wimbledon, but when it comes to the French Open, Alcaraz is going to be the one with the target on his back, like Nadal was on clay. He enjoys being hunted, and he is determined to do what it takes to stay a step ahead of the pack.  

“You have to find the joy in suffering,” Alcaraz said after last year’s epic in Paris. “I think that’s the key, even more on clay here in Roland Garros, long rallies, four-hour matches, five sets, you have to fight, you have to suffer, but as I talked with my team many, many times, you have to enjoy suffering. Thanks to him (Sinner), I push myself to be better, to be a better player.” 

After Alcaraz had mopped up the Australian Open in January, he was asked to look ahead to the rest of 2026 – the French Open, Wimbledon and the US Open – and his opinion on picking up all four majors in this calendar year. “It is going to be a big challenge,” he replied. “I just want it to be one at a time. Right now, the next one is Roland Garros. I have great memories of that tournament. I feel really special every time. I go there. I don’t want to put myself in a really pressure position to have to do it.”  

As Springbok coach Rassie Erasmus often says, “pressure is a privilege”. It is indeed, but there is a different pressure when you are a rugby team of 23 players in the squad heading into every match. If you are an individual and having a bad day, you get substituted, and at all times, there are 14 teammates running onto the field with you.  

Standing on hallowed tennis courts like Roland Garros and Wimbledon, it is just you, with your opponent at the other side of the net. There is no place to hide. Drop your standards by the smallest of percentages and you will lose the final, and that is exactly where Alcaraz and Sinner are right now. 

The head-to-head stats show that for now, Alcaraz is starting to edge ahead of Sinner as the rivalry goes into round seven of this heavyweight tennis slugfest. But, it is all a matter of margins, and with men’s tennis Grand Slams being played over the best of five sets, there is always going to be an ebb and flow. Buckle up for the next in the series.  

 

Words: Gary Lemke 
Photography: Noushad Thekkayil/Landres Martinez Casares 

Also read: Donald Ramphadi: The dynamic wheelchair tennis ace 

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